The keynote has just started at the Microsoft conference and Ray Ozzie is speaking. He’s just mentioned that they are going to show Silverlight 2.0 and IE 8!
Go to www.visitmix.com
The keynote has just started at the Microsoft conference and Ray Ozzie is speaking. He’s just mentioned that they are going to show Silverlight 2.0 and IE 8!
Go to www.visitmix.com
Hello again!
Tomorrow is supposedly a big day for Silverlight 2.0 at Microsoft Mix conference.
For those that don’t know. Silverlight 1.1 and 2.0 are the same thing.
Silverlight 1.0 (a browser plug-in) was released last year – it uses a subset of Windows Presentation Foundation in the XAML format and can be scripted with JavaScript. You can do lovely animated vector graphics, images and streamed video. It is cross-browser and cross-platfrom.
Silverlight 2.0 has been in alpha for a long time and it has been very quiet except for a few recent posts by Scott Guthrie recently (the man in charge of it at Microsoft). It has a mini subset of .net 3.5 in it, plus some other classes for talking to the browser. There’s also control/layout support for complex controls. It also should be cross-browser and cross-platform – you can use your Windows dev machine to remote debug silverlight running in Safari on a Mac! It may also include the Dynamic Runtime (DLR) – think immediately compiled and run code – like a command prompt, but much cooler. See the full details.
Silverlight 1.0 is like a web presentation competitor to Flash. 2.0 is like a web-application development platform. The implications of bring the whole .NET development community to bear (without having to worry about HTML or Javascript anymore!) is HUGE!.
The rumour would be that Beta 1 will be released at Mix, and a Beta 2 has been talked about.
The big 3 questions for me are:
Oh… and when will Microsoft manage to catch up with its development tools for all these new technologies.
Check out the mix website for the live keynote at 09:30 PT tomorrow (March 5 2008).
In a comment on Mack’s post about iTunes going DRM-free I speculated whether they would still keep identity information in tracks to fight file sharing.
Well I’ll happily boast that I seemed to have called it.
The BBC is reporting that the new DRM-free tracks have the full name and email address of the purchaser in them!
The DRM-‘full’ tracks apparently also had this, but it appears that DRM-free, doesn’t mean scott-free or audit-free sharing.
I personally really think this was to be expected. Perhaps it’s stated somewhere, but it’s clearly not obvious to most.
So don’t expect someone to set up something like the old-style Napster again fueled by iTunes downloads 🙂
It’s this year’s Origami and years from surfacing.
I’m sorry, but I’m simply not going to get on the wow bandwagon. I’ve even had an IM debate with a friend already this morning.
The fact is that there really isn’t any NEW innovation in this, where NEW means “wow I had absolutely no idea this could be done today” or “this wasn’t available a year ago”.
I’m a Microsoft fanboy most of the time, but the answer to the following questions are all “no” so I’m just going to find myself bored and at the same time amused at all the hype that’s going to come out of this.
Do I want one today as my coffee table? YES, if there’s an SDK.
Over-Due
I could play space invaders on a coin-op machine in a pub about two decades ago. Why did this take so long? Microsoft admits starting on this in 2001 – why did it take until now? If anyone is thinking “But… <insert whizzing technology> wasn’t available….”, stop right there and think if you are acting on blustering belief or considered application. Even on the 1990s space invader table, you could have had useful applications with that level of graphics. Considering Microsoft did Zune and Xbox so fast, and everyone up to Bill Gates authorised a team, what took so long?! I’m not saying it could have been done back then, though I could have justified US$10K at that point – more like 2000 perhaps. Actually, those paying attention know that Bill Gates has shown this kind of technology already, and it was a while ago, so why is everyone acting like bread could only be sliced today? Calm down!
Over-Priced
Apparently these devices will cost $5K to $10K US and the END of 2007? Why?! Makes it sound awfully delicate to put one in a restaurant if it costs that much to replace. Does everything in the furniture market have to be so over-priced and unavailable?
Over-Done
Many people aren’t quite as fixated on technology stuff as some of us, so this all looks so cool, but it has been demo’d prominately by Bill Gates before. It feels overdone because it has been on the cards for such a long time and this announcement (mostly consisting of consumer experiences) carries zero promise of availability to consumers and an extremely low chance of a consumer getting to interact with one.
It’s not surprising that all the sophisticated demoes are for brands that have the money to invest in these things: casinos and telcos.
Everyone is so into this that they fail to notice that the demos are done by people that have been using it for a long time and have learnt the drag semantics. The demos are so far baked that they all have their differing ideas for what dragging does and how the UI goes. WPF can be used to break years of Windows UI consistency, and this new UI is a whole new UI that screaming excitement but hasn’t been given to anyone to really standardise or play with.
Over-Hyped
Oooo, Ahhhh, so when can even a developer get one at a reasonable price? Is news really that slow, and everyone really that bored that they think this is really that innovative?
“How can you say… or not be excited by…” – because I already asked myself the questions above, the first time I saw a Microsoft demo of the technology months ago. Everyone seems to be acting like a kid in a candy store, but they haven’t yet realised that all the candy is made of promotional cut outs, because someone hasn’t yet finished developing the candy and their pocket money wont be able to afford this kind of candy for quite some time.
If it’s that innovative, then why does it take companies with deep pockets to get it rolling and drive the price down?
So why has it been announced today? Well, I’d guess it’s probably because it has been incubated for 6 years, and it would almost be embarrasing not to announce something, especially after Bill demo’d it a while ago already, plus the reality that if some money isn’t made back on the work, it will just end up getting dropped or developed at a cheaper cost by a start-up or hobbyist somewhere (if there’s isn’t one already doing it?)
Of course, all hype (good or bad) adds to the discussion, so even if you don’t agree with anything I’ve said, it will create the opportunity for more people to talk about Microsoft Surface (which is currently 1000s of fathoms far from surfacing). I haven’t included a single link in here, because it’s all over the Web today and it certainly doesn’t need any help from me 🙂
Take a look at this. Simmer, stir and serve with a plate of acquisition cash.
There were rumours of Yahoo bidding for Facebook, and rumours of Microsoft bidding for Yahoo. Perhaps Microsoft should just bypass Yahoo and go for the potentially better prize.
A WinHEC this week, Microsoft (confusingly at times) made comments about the future of 32-bit operating systems.
It seems that Windows Server 2008 (previously code-named “Longhorn”) will be the last server OS to come in 32-bit editions (as well as the new 64-bit editions). In fact, even the R2 (due 2009/2010) may be 64-bit only.
There was some confusion over an announcement that made it sound like Vista will be the last 32-bit OS for the desktop, but this was apparently clarified – they were not saying that. That doesn’t mean it wont happen of course…
Many desktop computers bought in the last year or two may actually be 64-bit capable, but still have the 32-bit edition of XP or Vista on them, but even 4 years from now, introducing a new OS that wont run on 32-bit machines bought today would likely be a mistake, especially since so many drivers aren’t available for 64-bit. The average developer – the early adopting supporter and promoter – can’t be relied upon to promote 64-bit since many developer tools aren’t natively supported.
Anyway, back to servers…
Unless you’re a financial, insurance or communications company rich in cash, a change to 64-bit servers is the kind of change you may consider at the end of a leasing period, so it may take 3 years for adoption to trickle through.
The switch to 64-bit will likely occur an a role-priority basis, probably with mail and database servers first: Exchange Server 2007 already requires a 64-bit edition of Windows Server 2003. I’m curious to learn if this has stalled take-up of the product. This also doesn’t help customer-adoption of Microsoft’s Unified Communication strategy I imagine (see my upcoming post on that).
I can see domain controllers moving up last unless an organisation can make significant WAN-based Active Directory replication gains to be made from the new features in 2008.
Windows Server 2008 also does away with separate builds for single and multi-processor. Apparently the optimisations for single processor aren’t worth it anymore.
Going 64-bit, breaks the 4GB directly addressable space barrier. The need to go 64-bit can also be simply related to the population of the planet (which is estimated at over 6 billion, over the 4 billion that 32-bits can represent), pushing the need for larger databases and identifiers. The same can be said about IPv4 addresses (and they can’t even use the whole range).
If you are thinking about buying new server equipment this year, you may want to think about at least getting 64-bit capable machines.
In his WinHEC keynote (at 07:00), Craig Mundie (Microsoft’s Cheif Research and Strategy Officer) talked about the fact that in ‘ermerging market’ countries, the main computer that millions do have, is a mobile phone.
He showed a video of a Windows Mobile phone playing audio and allowing illiterate individuals to seek services through icon choices, e.g. getting help dealing with a child’s medical symptoms.
Note that he talked about ’emerging market’ countries, rather than ‘developing’ countries, but I still don’t think it’s realistic to think that hoardes of people can afford a Windows Mobile phone but are still illiterate, so goverment or remote funding would likely be required. In fact, he illustrated (with a pyramid) a view of the richest 1 billion people (that have computers), the 2 billion that has limited disposable incoming, and the 3 billion that do need government or agency sponsored programs, all under the umbrella of something called “Microsoft Unlimited Potential” (complete with local and slogan).
Craig’s keynote was quite dry and there wasn’t really anything too novel or far future-looking from Microsoft Research; in fact the first half of his speech was mostly about application and strategy.
While there was talk about medical assistance for other markets, this keynote really seemed like Microsoft airing it’s idea for how it can get to the 2 billion (who largely have mobile phones that are not Windows-based, but were having an interoperable Windows-based device could bring new activities) and the 3 billion where perhaps medical needs could justify getting a Windows-based phone in were there is still the opportunity to compete from a fresh start.
Remember, while this may sound like a cynical view, Microsoft is a publically traded company looking to increase stock price which often means growing its market reach, and Craig is the Strategy guy. While it would have made for a cooler keynote, we aren’t ready for Windows SpaceCraft edition yet, especially when it’s proving so hard for Microsoft to penetrate into the automobile market (but I wish they would).
For some reason, whenever Microsoft launches a new wave of non-PC form factors, it’s websites do a terrible job of pointing to the available hardware and how to buy one. The sites are seldom updated with the latest hardware as it’s released.
Take for example Pocket PC Phone devices. Go to Microsoft browsing site. If you live in the US, you are immediately limited, largely because you are presented with what the carriers carry. I buy most of mine through Expansys which can get me pretty much any device from Europe (where there’s always more choice) and yet the Microsoft sites seem to dutifully segment customers in a way that effectively limits choice to the uninformed. HTC isn’t listed as a brand, and yet not only are they the original manufacturer for a huge proportion of carrier-badged Windows Mobile device, but they do sell their own brand – browse for HTC at Expansys and pick the appropriate country.
Back to the UMPC. Take a look at the Microsoft UMPC site – click on the Hardware link at the bottom of the left-hand list. You get to see just two devices and they are from the earlier round!
So here are some of the new devices that Bill Gates showed during the WinHEC keynote – see around 11:40 (video) and 13:00 (on stage) into his keynote video)
These devices have varying availability. On the surface, I’m inclined to look at the Shift because of the keyboard versatility and I’ve had plenty of HTC devices. I also have a Fujitsu Tablet PC however, and that’s lasted quite nicely. The Samsung Q1 was not cheap and I’m not sure about the split thumbing keypad – althrough it may actually be the most practical. Having HSPDA built in, may also be a great plus.
You’ll probably want to consider things like:
Bear in mind that none of these devices is likely to be that much cheaper than a regular notebook.
A number of new Tablet PCs were also shown on stage and in video. I recall seeing the Gateway E-155c and E-295c. There was also an official-sounding video from Dell posted yesterday to confirm rumours that they will have a Tablet PC coming later this year (but no specs).
In a new Tablet PC I’m looking for these things (in no particular order):
I’m beginning to wonder if a UMPC would do it for me at home, rather than a full-blown tablet.
Tablet PC needs to push into the mainstream such that all notebooks at least have the pen and touch digitizers (and the stylus) – this isn’t as easy as it sounds though.
UMPC seems to be stepping up with specs, but battery life and price is still not there on the 2nd generation. I think they do make a great round-the-house ad-hoc computer with the full power of Windows.
Over the weekend I’ll be talking about the news and gadgets that came out of Microsoft’s WinHEC conference this week including: UMPCs; Medical interfaces; Mobile-centric computing; 64-bit computing; Unified communications; the new Windows Server; and just how cool the kernel in Vista and Windows Server 2008 is.
Microsoft’s new free ecosystem in alpha is named Popfly. The alpha service currently has a waiting list.
It provides for the creation and hosting of mashup content in a community (Popfly Space) using building ‘blocks’ in a non-developer-orientated UI. Finished projects can be hosted (by the provided embed code or directly to sites that support the MetaWoblog API) on other communities (that support iframe) or as Vista Sidebar gadgets.
So for example, at the basic level you can create and publish your own slide show or psuedo 3D photo sphere or Virtual Earth view (with photos geographically positioned) that pulls pictures from a Live Spaces or Flickr account.
Presentation can be done with Silverlight 1.0, AJAX, or DHTML (see my posts on this for more information on Silverlight). It is a web-browser client-side technology (not for creating say ASP.NET server-side applications).
The Popfly Creator is an online tool for creating the single-page mashup applications, including the ASP.NET AJAX client library. It graphically shows the blocks and how they are connected up. There are javascript editing options (including intellisense!) for advanced users.
Users can create and share their own blocks, and there appears to be a possible monetization opportunity there too (see the FAQ).
There is also rudimentary cross-user anonymous application data persistance (e.g. for voting results).
The service is aimed primarily at non-professional developers to build things without code, but there’s also a plug-in for Visual Studio (all versions) called Popfly Explorer.
See the Popfly website and video for more information.
[Via: Robert Scoble]